Belinda Bencic vs Anna KalinskayaWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#12WTA
1989ELO
1791Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 1st on
#21WTA
1907ELO
1724Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Bencic B.
6-4 4-6 7-6
Kalinskaya A.
Bencic B.
6472
Kalinskaya A.
4661

Belinda Bencic advanced to the next round of Wimbledon with a three-set win over Anna Kalinskaya in the Round of 32. Bencic won 6-4, 4-6, 7-6. The match saw both players hit six aces, with Bencic committing eight double faults to Kalinskaya's four.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09RomeR32clayAnna Kalinskaya4-6 3-6
2025-01-06AdelaideR32hardBelinda Bencic6-2 1-0
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R16hardBelinda Bencic6-3 6-3
2022-06-13BerlinR16grassBelinda Bencic6-4 1-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
90
75
Break points saved·Dominant
84
38
Break points won·Even
96
96
Deciding sets·Even
96
92
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bencic B.70%
Kalinskaya A.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bencic B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1727
5.9Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1915
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.48 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.1Won 69% in United Kingdom (42)
Country comfort
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
79

Bencic B.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw