Karolina Muchova vs Anna KalinskayaDoha Quarter-final

Doha · WTA · Quarter-final
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#20WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$7.0MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Muchova K.
6-3 6-4
Kalinskaya A.
Muchova K.
662
Kalinskaya A.
340

Karolina Muchova defeated Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-4 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14NingboQFhardKarolina Muchova2-6 6-2 6-3
2020-08-31US OpenR64hardKarolina Muchova6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Kalinskaya A.

Kalinskaya A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Kalinskaya A.
70
Serve
36
44
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
88
Break points won·Even
94
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
89
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+171 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1863
7.4Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1907
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
6.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
87

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Kalinskaya A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw