Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 16
Belinda Bencic
SUI
Belinda Bencic
#11WTA
1989ELO
1791Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
Coco Gauff
USA
Coco Gauff
#7WTA
2071ELO
1823Grass ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWWLWW
Bencic B.
vs
Gauff C.

Belinda Bencic faces Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. Coco Gauff holds the paper edge — ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 128.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTC
Bencic B.38%
Gauff C.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gauff C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bencic B.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Gauff C.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1791
Surface ELO
5.4+32 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 2071
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in GBR (43)
Country comfort
6.2Won 69% in GBR (26)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bencic B.Stable
Gauff C.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

15 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
Bencic B.Gauff C.
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
38%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
7.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bencic B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Bencic B.Gauff C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
99
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Bencic B.Gauff C.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
75

Bencic B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

2–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiQFhardCoco Gauff6-3 1-6 6-3
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardCoco Gauff4-6 7-6(4) 6-2
2025-04-22MadridR16clayCoco Gauff6-4 6-2
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardBelinda Bencic3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardCoco Gauff5-7 6-2 6-1
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-2
2021-02-22AdelaideSFhardBelinda Bencic7-6(2) 6-7(4) 6-2
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-3
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.[9]
4-63-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kessler M.
6-17-69
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
6-26-0
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
7-651-64-6
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-62-6
Muchova K.[10]
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
5-70-6
Siniakova K.[32]
Bartunkova N.
2-64-6
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.[5]
4-67-56-4
Pegula J.[4]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-666-1
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-612-6
Alexandrova E.[18]
Tararudee L.
7-57-5
Maria T.
Jovic I.[16]
1-62-6
Bencic B.[11]
Wang X.
7-56-0
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
4-66-36-78
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
5-73-6
Sierra S.
Gauff C.[7]
3-66-36-77
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
6-46-3
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
1-60-6
Navarro E.[23]
Selekhmeteva O.
3-66-46-1
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.[12]
7-653-63-6
Paolini J.[13]
Golubic V.
7-606-4
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
3-66-06-77
Eala A.[29]
Joint M.
3-66-26-0
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-63-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Kenin S.
6-24-67-63
Swan K.
Keys M.[26]
1-64-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Birrell K.
6-36-4
Osorio C.
Noskova L.[9]
3-66-42-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Samsonova L.
4-66-42-6
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
5-73-6
Mertens E.[25]
Timofeeva M.
2-66-36-0
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.[2]
1-62-6
Sabalenka A.
Ostapenko J.
6-46-4
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
1-63-6
Muchova K.
Sawangkaew M.
6-27-61
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
3-65-7
Pegula J.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-16-3
Alexandrova E.
Jovic I.
3-66-34-6
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.
6-44-67-66
Liu C.
Gauff C.
3-67-652-6
Snigur D.
Krueger A.
Navarro E.[23]
Kostyuk M.[12]
Paolini J.
Sakkari M.
Eala A.
Swiatek I.
Anisimova A.
Keys M.
Cirstea S.
Noskova L.
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.
Rybakina E.
Sabalenka A.
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
Krejcikova B.
Pegula J.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Gauff C.
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