Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffIndian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
Bencic B.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Gauff C.
Bencic B.
3662
Gauff C.
6341

Belinda Bencic defeated Coco Gauff 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's semi-final. Belinda Bencic narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-05WimbledonR16grassCoco Gauff6-4 3-6 4-6
2026-03-17MiamiQFhardCoco Gauff6-3 1-6 6-3
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardCoco Gauff4-6 7-6(4) 6-2
2025-04-22MadridR16clayCoco Gauff6-4 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardCoco Gauff5-7 6-2 6-1
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-2
2021-02-22AdelaideSFhardBelinda Bencic7-6(2) 6-7(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bencic B.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Gauff C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bencic B.Gauff C.
57
Serve
25
55
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
7.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
99
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1952
Surface ELO
6.1+82 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 2071
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.6
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.7
Country comfort
7.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
79
54

Bencic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw