Coco Gauff vs Iga SwiatekUnited Cup Semi-final

United Cup · WTA · Semi-final
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Gauff C.
6-4 6-2
Swiatek I.
Gauff C.
662
Swiatek I.
420

Coco Gauff defeated Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-2 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 11–4. Coco Gauff narrowed the head-to-head to 11–5.

Key context

Head to head

411
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridSFclayCoco Gauff6-1 6-1
2024-12-27United CupFhardCoco Gauff6-4 6-4
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosSFclayIga Swiatek6-2 6-4
2024-05-06RomeSFclayIga Swiatek6-4 6-3
2023-10-30Cancun FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-0 7-5
2023-10-02BeijingSFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiSFhardCoco Gauff7-6(2) 3-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQFclayIga Swiatek6-4 6-2
2023-02-20DubaiSFhardIga Swiatek6-4 6-2
2022-10-31Fort Worth FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-0
2022-10-10San DiegoQFhardIga Swiatek6-0 6-3
2022-05-23Roland GarrosFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2022-03-21MiamiR16hardIga Swiatek6-3 6-1
2021-05-10RomeSFclayIga Swiatek7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Swiatek I.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Swiatek I.
25
Serve
67
100
Return
98

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
38%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
99
100
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 65 days (−1.2)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 65 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.2+13 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 2022
5.2Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 2064
6.4
H2H
3.6
6.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
91

Gauff C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast