Coco Gauff vs Jasmine PaoliniWuhan Semi-final

Wuhan · WTA · Semi-final
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Gauff C.
6-4 6-3
Paolini J.
Gauff C.
662
Paolini J.
430

Coco Gauff defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-4 6-3 in the Wuhan semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, defending last year's semi-final. Coco Gauff extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Coco Gauff closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-4 6-3
2025-05-06RomeFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiQFhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2021-02-22AdelaideR32hardCoco Gauff6-4 6-7(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Serve advantage — Gauff C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Paolini J.
25
Serve
31
100
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1873
6.8Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1905
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.8
Surface form
8.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
5.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.1
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
60
76

Gauff C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Semi-finals
Gauff C.[3]
Paolini J.[7]
6-46-3
Pegula J.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-47-62