Coco Gauff vs Jasmine PaoliniCincinnati Quarter-final

Cincinnati · WTA · Quarter-final
#7WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$2.9MYTD
$33MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Gauff C.
6-3 6-2
Paolini J.
Gauff C.
662
Paolini J.
320

Coco Gauff defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-2 in the Cincinnati quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Coco Gauff came in ranked #7, defending last year's round of 64. Coco Gauff extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardCoco Gauff6-3 6-2
2025-10-06WuhanSFhardCoco Gauff6-4 6-3
2025-08-07CincinnatiQFhardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-4 6-3
2025-05-06RomeFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-2
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-3
2021-02-22AdelaideR32hardCoco Gauff6-4 6-7(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gauff C.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Gauff C.

Serve advantage — Gauff C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gauff C.Paolini J.
25
Serve
31
100
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
99
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+162 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1873
6.8Overall Elo 2071
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1905
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.0
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
72

Gauff C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d) · Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw