Jessica Pegula vs Belinda BencicIndian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Pegula J.
6-3 7-6
Bencic B.
Pegula J.
6772
Bencic B.
3650

Jessica Pegula defeated Belinda Bencic 6-3 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula claimed a first win over Belinda Bencic in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-03CharlestonSFclayBelinda Bencic7-5 7-6(5)
2021-08-30US OpenR32hardBelinda Bencic6-2 6-4
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR64hardBelinda Bencic6-3 6-3
2015-06-08's HertogenboschR32grassBelinda Bencic6-2 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Bencic B.
68
Serve
57
73
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
89
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1952
6.4Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1989
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.4
Surface form
7.7
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
8.1
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
79

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw