Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang — Wimbledon Round of 128
Andreescu B.
Bianca Andreescu faces Shuai Zhang in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. Shuai Zhang is the paper favourite — ranked #67, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage — but Bianca Andreescu arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass to Shuai Zhang's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Bianca Andreescu comes in with 1 days of rest and 70 games in 14d, vs Shuai Zhang's 6 and 73.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Bianca Andreescu has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 84 vs 60).
- Surface form: Bianca Andreescu 3 of 4, Shuai Zhang 2 of 4 on grass recently — Bianca Andreescu the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAndreescu B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Zhang S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.