Karolina Muchova vs Shuai ZhangWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#7WTA
2066ELO
1852Grass ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 2nd on
#54WTA
1718ELO
1619Grass ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
Muchova K.
6-3 6-2
Zhang S.
Muchova K.
662
Zhang S.
320

Karolina Muchova defeated Shuai Zhang in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-2 on the grass courts. Muchova hit 7 aces to Zhang's 3 and converted 40% of her break points, while Zhang converted none. Muchova won 84% of her first-serve points to Zhang's 66%, and she broke Zhang's serve twice.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16BerlinR32grassKarolina Muchova1-6 3-6
2021-06-28WimbledonR128grassKarolina Muchova6-3 6-3
2020-10-19OstravaR32hardKarolina Muchova6-1 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
46
Break points saved·Dominant
91
12
Break points won·Even
88
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Muchova K.87%
Zhang S.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+143 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1631
9.0Overall Elo 2041
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1725
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
7.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
4.7Won 44% in United Kingdom (36)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Zhang S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw