Amanda Anisimova vs Karolina MuchovaBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
#6WTA
1914ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Anisimova A.
1-6 6-2 6-4
Muchova K.
Anisimova A.
1662
Muchova K.
6241

Amanda Anisimova defeated Karolina Muchova 1-6 6-2 6-4 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Amanda Anisimova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Amanda Anisimova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR32clayAmanda Anisimova6-7(7) 6-2 3-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Anisimova A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Anisimova A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Anisimova A.Muchova K.
51
Serve
70
72
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
95
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 48 days (−1.0)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1880
Surface ELO
5.6+155 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1914
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
5.9
0.0
Win streak
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
60

Anisimova A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw