Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina MuchovaRome Round of 64

Rome · WTA · Round of 64
#28WTA
1904ELO
1882Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 8 May 2026 ·
clay
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Potapova A.
6-3 6-2
Muchova K.
Potapova A.
662
Muchova K.
320

Anastasia Potapova defeated Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-2 in the Rome round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 3–0, but Anastasia Potapova had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Anastasia Potapova claimed a first win over Karolina Muchova in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-27LinzQFhardKarolina Muchova6-3 3-6 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardKarolina Muchova6-4 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR64hardKarolina Muchova7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Serve advantage — Muchova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
98
Break points won·Slight edge
88
94
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 25 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1882
Surface ELO
5.9+11 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
6.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
62

Potapova A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final