Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia PotapovaLinz Quarter-final

Linz · WTA · Quarter-final
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 January 2025
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Muchova K.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Potapova A.
Muchova K.
6362
Potapova A.
3631

Karolina Muchova defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Linz quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08RomeR64clayAnastasia Potapova6-3 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardKarolina Muchova6-4 6-2
2023-08-07MontrealR64hardKarolina Muchova7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Potapova A.
70
Serve
11
44
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
89
Break points won·Slight edge
94
88
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+230 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1804
7.7Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1904
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.4
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
60
98

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
5°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 81%