Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew — Wimbledon Round of 32
Muchova K.
Karolina Muchova faces Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Karolina Muchova holds the paper edge — ranked #9, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Karolina Muchova dropped just 5 games past Shuai Zhang.
- Last match: Mananchaya Sawangkaew handed Alycia Parks a second-set bagel in a 7–5 6–0 win.
- Fatigue load: Mananchaya Sawangkaew carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMuchova K.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 84 games (7d) · Sawangkaew M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 89 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.