Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikova — Wimbledon Round of 16
Muchova K.Karolina Muchova faces Barbora Krejcikova in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. Karolina Muchova holds the paper edge — ranked #9, defending last year's round of 128. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Muchova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Karolina Muchova 101 games in 14 days, Barbora Krejcikova 71.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Karolina Muchova grades 68 on serve, Barbora Krejcikova 54 on return.
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Karolina Muchova on a 7-match run, Barbora Krejcikova on 3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMuchova K.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 62 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.