Iga Swiatek vs Karolina MuchovaIndian Wells Round of 16

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 16
#8WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026 ·
hard
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Swiatek I.
6-2 6-0
Muchova K.
Swiatek I.
662
Muchova K.
200

Iga Swiatek defeated Karolina Muchova 6-2 6-0 in the Indian Wells round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #7, defending last year's round of 16. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-1
2025-01-01United CupRRhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2024-12-27United CupRRhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 4-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosFclayIga Swiatek6-2 5-7 6-4
2019-04-29PragueR32clayKarolina Muchova4-6 6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
92
Break points saved·Even
87
91
Break points won·Clear edge
100
88
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw