Iga Swiatek vs Karolina MuchovaUnited Cup Round Robin

United Cup · WTA · Round Robin
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 27 December 2024
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Swiatek I.
6-3 6-4
Muchova K.
Swiatek I.
662
Muchova K.
340

Iga Swiatek defeated Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's semi-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-0
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-1
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 4-6 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosFclayIga Swiatek6-2 5-7 6-4
2019-04-29PragueR32clayKarolina Muchova4-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Muchova K.
67
Serve
70
98
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
95
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 74 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
5.3+12 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 2066
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.3
Surface form
7.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
51

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast