Iga Swiatek vs Karolina MuchovaRoland Garros Final

Roland Garros · WTA · Final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 May 2023
clay
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Swiatek I.
6-2 5-7 6-4
Muchova K.
Swiatek I.
6562
Muchova K.
2741

Iga Swiatek defeated Karolina Muchova 6-2 5-7 6-4 in the Roland Garros final on clay. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek closed it out in three sets, 6–2 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-0
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2023-08-07MontrealR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 4-6 6-4
2019-04-29PragueR32clayKarolina Muchova4-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
95
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+116 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1893
4.8Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
7.5
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
51

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Muchova K.[10]
6-25-76-4
R128
Swiatek I.[3]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-0
Peterson R.
Ferro F.
6-26-0
Navarro E.
Andreeva E.
6-23-66-4
Bolsova A.
Kucova K.
6-26-1
Day K.
Mladenovic K.
7-56-1
Danilovic O.
Baindl K.
6-36-2
Dodin O.
Janicijevic S.
0-66-26-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Volynets K.
6-06-1
Giorgi C.
Cornet A.
6-36-4
Stearns P.
Siniakova K.
7-676-2
Ostapenko J.[29]
Martincova T.
6-37-5
Osorio C.
Bogdan A.
3-66-37-5
Haddad Maia B.[14]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Andreescu B.[25]
Azarenka V.[18]
2-66-36-4
Waltert S.
Mandlik E.
6-14-66-2
Shnaider D.[25]
Marino R.
6-37-5
Stephens S.
Pliskova K.[20]
6-06-4
Frech M.
Zhang S.[29]
6-16-1
Kasatkina D.[9]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[12]
Kovinic D.
6-32-1
Alexandrova E.[14]
Tomova V.
6-12-66-1
Davis L.
Zhu L.
6-36-3
Tsurenko L.
Krejcikova B.[13]
6-26-4
Parry D.
Kalinina A.[25]
6-26-3
Grabher J.
Rus A.
6-26-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Burel C.
7-606-2
Martic P.
Rogers S.[32]
3-66-36-2
Friedsam A.
Hibino N.
6-33-66-4
Pera B.
Kontaveit A.
7-666-2
Vekic D.[22]
Yastremska D.
6-27-5
Jabeur O.[7]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Podoroska N.
Ponchet J.
6-06-2
Errani S.
Teichmann J.
3-66-46-2
Muchova K.[10]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-657-5
Jeanjean L.
Birrell K.
6-46-766-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Linette M.[21]
6-31-66-3
Avanesyan E.
Bencic B.[11]
6-32-66-4
Potapova A.[28]
Townsend T.
6-16-2
Sherif M.
Brengle M.
6-36-1
Blinkova A.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-0
Hunter S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
4-66-26-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Trevisan M.[26]
6-26-2
Vondrousova M.
Parks A.
6-46-0
Gracheva V.
Galfi D.
6-42-66-1
Rakhimova K.
Bejlek S.
6-06-3
Shymanovich I.
Udvardy P.
6-766-36-1
Schmiedlova A.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-36-1
Putintseva Y.
Zanevska M.
7-57-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-2
Begu I.[27]
Bondar A.
6-46-2
Tauson C.[21]
Sasnovich A.[14]
6-26-0
Cocciaretto E.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Liu C.
In Albon Y.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Riske Amritraj A.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Kanepi K.
6-13-66-1
Gauff C.[4]
Masarova R.
3-66-16-2
Paolini J.[13]
Cirstea S.[18]
7-52-66-2
Mertens E.[23]
Hruncakova V.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[5]
Collins D.
6-46-2
Garcia C.[5]
Wang X.[32]
7-644-66-4
Zheng Q.[19]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Wang X.
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-47-65