Iga Swiatek vs Karolina MuchovaMontreal Round of 16

Montreal · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Swiatek I.
6-1 4-6 6-4
Muchova K.
Swiatek I.
6462
Muchova K.
1641

Iga Swiatek defeated Karolina Muchova 6-1 4-6 6-4 in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-2 6-0
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-1
2024-12-27United CupRRhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosFclayIga Swiatek6-2 5-7 6-4
2019-04-29PragueR32clayKarolina Muchova4-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Muchova K.
67
Serve
70
98
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 143). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
95
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 2022
Surface ELO
5.3+12 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
7.5
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
60

Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw