Karolina Muchova vs Victoria MbokoDoha Final

Doha · WTA · Final
#6WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#12WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
Muchova K.
6-4 7-5
Mboko V.
Muchova K.
672
Mboko V.
450

Karolina Muchova defeated Victoria Mboko 6-4 7-5 in the Doha final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiQFhardKarolina Muchova7-5 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Mboko V.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Mboko V.
70
Serve
58
44
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
97
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 2006
5.5Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 2006
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
7.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
56

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw

Final
Muchova K.[14]
Mboko V.[10]
6-47-5