Karolina Muchova vs Elina SvitolinaStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · WTA · Semi-final
#6WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 April 2026
clay
#10WTA
2070ELO
1995Clay ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Muchova K.
6-4 2-6 6-4
Svitolina E.
Muchova K.
6262
Svitolina E.
4641

Karolina Muchova defeated Elina Svitolina 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the Stuttgart semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in leading the head-to-head 3–0. Karolina Muchova claimed a first win over Elina Svitolina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiR32hardElina Svitolina6-2 3-6 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonQFgrassElina Svitolina7-5 6-4
2019-02-11DohaQFhardElina Svitolina6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1893
Surface ELO
5.2+102 Clay Elo edge
5.8Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 2070
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
8.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
98

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
11°CDrizzle
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 84%