Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova — Miami Round of 32

Miami · WTA · Round of 32
Elina Svitolina
UKR22
Elina Svitolina
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
Karolina Muchova
CZE15
Karolina Muchova
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Svitolina E.
6-2 3-6 6-2
Muchova K.
Svitolina E.
6362
Muchova K.
2621

Elina Svitolina defeated Karolina Muchova 6-2 3-6 6-2 in the Miami round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Elina Svitolina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Elina Svitolina closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13StuttgartSFclayKarolina Muchova6-4 2-6 6-4
2019-07-01WimbledonQFgrassElina Svitolina7-5 6-4
2019-02-11DohaQFhardElina Svitolina6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Svitolina E.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svitolina E.Muchova K.
48
Serve
70
57
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Svitolina E.Muchova K.
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Svitolina E.Muchova K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
95
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
98
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Svitolina E.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Muchova K.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1997
Surface ELO
5.9+37 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 2066
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
7.6
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.6
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.7
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Svitolina E.Muchova K.
Freshness·Dominant
98
60

Svitolina E.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[4]
7-56-2
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[4]
Eala A.
7-635-76-3
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[9]
6-27-5
Paolini J.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Eala A.
Swiatek I.[2]
6-27-5
Pegula J.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-46-736-2
R16
Eala A.
Badosa P.[10]
W/O
Zheng Q.[9]
Krueger A.
6-27-63
Paolini J.[6]
Osaka N.
3-66-46-4
Linette M.
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Svitolina E.[22]
7-656-3
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-16-3
Pegula J.[4]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Collins D.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[31]
4-3
Raducanu E.
Kessler M.
6-13-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Ruse E.
6-10-0
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
7-663-66-4
Anisimova A.[17]
Andreeva M.[11]
7-652-66-3
Collins D.[14]
Masarova R.
6-43-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Mertens E.[27]
7-626-1
Svitolina E.[22]
Muchova K.[15]
6-23-66-2
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.[32]
6-736-27-62
Badosa P.[10]
Tauson C.[20]
6-37-63
Eala A.
Keys M.[5]
6-46-2
Linette M.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Krueger A.
Fernandez L.[26]
6-17-5
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[28]
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[9]
Townsend T.
6-17-63
Kostyuk M.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
R64
Muchova K.[15]
Azarenka V.
6-00-0
Townsend T.
Putintseva Y.[19]
7-621-66-1
Andreeva M.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-06-2
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-06-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Navarro E.[8]
7-662-67-63
Paolini J.[6]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[20]
Grabher J.
6-47-5
Eala A.
Ostapenko J.[25]
7-627-5
Svitolina E.[22]
Bencic B.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.[32]
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[9]
Davis L.
6-17-5
Kostyuk M.[23]
Birrell K.
7-54-66-3
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-656-2
Anisimova A.[17]
Sherif M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[5]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Fernandez L.[26]
Parks A.
7-616-3
Collins D.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tomova V.
6-36-0
Sakkari M.[28]
Bronzetti L.
6-35-76-4
Ruse E.
Frech M.[29]
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Kasatkina D.[12]
3-66-47-5
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[21]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[27]
Stearns P.
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-27-5
Badosa P.[10]
Mboko V.
7-51-67-63
Pegula J.[4]
Pera B.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-47-60
Kessler M.
Noskova L.[30]
2-67-57-64
Jabeur O.[31]
Siniakova K.
6-47-67
Krueger A.
Rybakina E.[7]
6-42-66-4
R128
Parks A.
Gracheva V.
3-67-606-3
Bronzetti L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-16-756-2
Kudermetova V.
Wang X.
6-27-65
Townsend T.
Li A.
3-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Lamens S.
6-46-3
Blinkova A.
Rakhimova K.
4-66-36-2
Raducanu E.
Ishii S.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Grant T.
6-46-4
Mboko V.
Osorio C.
7-55-76-3
Stearns P.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Bencic B.
Yastremska D.
6-41-67-5
Azarenka V.
Kalinina A.
6-36-1
Garcia C.
Bondar A.
6-07-65
Sherif M.
Sun L.
7-51-66-4
Baptiste H.
Danilovic O.
6-36-756-1
Krueger A.
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Cirstea S.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-65
Kenin S.
Kvitova P.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Mcnally C.
6-32-66-3
Davis L.
Ito A.
6-43-66-4
Masarova R.
Minnen G.
6-746-47-5
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
3-66-37-65
Pera B.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kessler M.
Bouzkova M.
6-42-66-4
Siniakova K.
Yuan Y.
6-22-67-64
Fruhvirtova L.
Liu C.
7-54-66-3
Linette M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-636-2
Eala A.
Volynets K.
6-37-63
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-16-746-4
Sramkova R.
Stefanini L.
3-66-16-3
Osaka N.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-46-3