Karolina Muchova vs Maya JointTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · WTA · Round of 16
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#87WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
Muchova K.
6-3 7-5
Joint M.
Muchova K.
672
Joint M.
350

Karolina Muchova defeated Maya Joint 6-3 7-5 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Joint M.
70
Serve
17
44
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
76
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
77
Tiebreaks·
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+377 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1657
9.0Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1659
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
92

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Joint M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 81%