Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora KrejcikovaWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#48WTA
1788ELO
1679Grass ELO
$507kYTD
$713kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLWWW
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
#38WTA
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$650kYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLLW
Bartunkova N.
vs
Krejcikova B.

Nikola Bartunkova faces Barbora Krejcikova in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Barbora Krejcikova holds the paper edge — ranked #38, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:20 UTC
Bartunkova N.34%
Krejcikova B.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krejcikova B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1679
Surface ELO
6.5+123 Grass Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in GBR (27)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bartunkova N.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Krejcikova B.

Krejcikova B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
93
Break points won·Even
90
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
98
Tiebreaks·
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
86

Bartunkova N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Pegula J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Alexandrova E.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
Gauff C.