Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana ShnaiderBerlin Round of 32

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
#61WTA
1732ELO
1541Grass ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLLWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#16WTA
1882ELO
1735Grass ELO
$952kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWLW
Bartunkova N.
vs
Shnaider D.

Nikola Bartunkova faces Diana Shnaider in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Diana Shnaider holds the paper edge — ranked #16, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 190-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Nikola Bartunkova carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Stage: Diana Shnaider defends last year's round of 16.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC
Bartunkova N.18%
Shnaider D.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Shnaider D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.6Grass Elo 1541
Surface ELO
7.4+194 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1882
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.94 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
62
90

Bartunkova N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 68 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

21 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bartunkova N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final