Camila Osorio vs Linda NoskovaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#68WTA
1823ELO
1636Grass ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLWWLW
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
#12WTA
1997ELO
1875Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.7MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLLW
Osorio C.
vs
Noskova L.

Camila Osorio faces Linda Noskova in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Linda Noskova is the paper favourite — ranked #12, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 240-point grass Elo advantage — but Camila Osorio has won their only previous meeting, though none on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Osorio C.11%
Noskova L.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noskova L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Grass Elo 1636
Surface ELO
8.0+240 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1823
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1996
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.04 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
5.3
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Osorio C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Noskova L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
95
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
97
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
84

Osorio C.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Noskova L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-30LyonQFhardCamila Osorio6-4 7-6(3)
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final