Naomi Osaka vs Camila OsorioIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#68WTA
1807ELO
1780Hard ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Osaka N.
6-1 3-6 6-1
Osorio C.
Osaka N.
6362
Osorio C.
1611

Naomi Osaka defeated Camila Osorio 6-1 3-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 128. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR64clayNaomi Osaka6-2 7-5
2025-03-05Indian WellsR128hardCamila Osorio6-4 6-4
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Osorio C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Osorio C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Osorio C.
70
Serve
10
60
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
84
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 44 days (−1.0)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+141 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1780
6.6Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1807
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
7.7
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
Prev. match
9.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
94

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Osorio C.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw