Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka — Indian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
Camila Osorio
COL
Camila Osorio
#68WTA
1807ELO
1780Hard ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
Naomi Osaka
JPN
Naomi Osaka
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Osorio C.
6-4 6-4
Osaka N.
Osorio C.
662
Osaka N.
440

Camila Osorio defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 6-4 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Camila Osorio claimed a first win over Naomi Osaka in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Camila Osorio edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR64clayNaomi Osaka6-2 7-5
2026-03-04Indian WellsR32hardNaomi Osaka6-1 3-6 6-1
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardNaomi Osaka6-3 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Osorio C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Osorio C.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osorio C.Osaka N.
10
Serve
70
62
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Osorio C.Osaka N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Osorio C.Osaka N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
91
Break points saved·Clear edge
73
96
Break points won·Even
99
97
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Osorio C.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
Osaka N.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 51 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1780
Surface ELO
6.5+141 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Osorio C.Osaka N.
Freshness·Clear edge
93
79

Osorio C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Osaka N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw

Final
Andreeva M.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
2-66-46-3
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[5]
6-06-1
Andreeva M.[9]
Swiatek I.[2]
7-611-66-3
Quarter-finals
Andreeva M.[9]
Svitolina E.[23]
7-56-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Zheng Q.[8]
6-36-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-3
Keys M.[5]
Bencic B.
6-16-1
R16
Swiatek I.[2]
Muchova K.[15]
6-16-1
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
4-67-676-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Rybakina E.[7]
6-16-2
Svitolina E.[23]
Pegula J.[4]
5-76-16-2
Bencic B.
Gauff C.[3]
3-66-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kartal S.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Kostyuk M.[18]
6-36-2
Samsonova L.[24]
Paolini J.[6]
6-06-4
R32
Kartal S.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Boulter K.[25]
6-07-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Sun L.
6-47-5
Samsonova L.[24]
Kasatkina D.[12]
2-66-36-2
Pegula J.[4]
Wang X.
6-26-1
Bencic B.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-46-4
Svitolina E.[23]
Collins D.[14]
6-26-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[10]
7-656-1
Keys M.[5]
Mertens E.[28]
6-26-786-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[2]
Yastremska D.
6-06-2
Kostyuk M.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-36-3
Andreeva M.[9]
Tauson C.[22]
6-36-0
Muchova K.[15]
Siniakova K.
7-56-1
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[29]
7-616-2
Paolini J.[6]
Cristian J.
6-43-66-4
R64
Sakkari M.[29]
Tomova V.
6-06-3
Siniakova K.
Putintseva Y.[21]
6-26-2
Svitolina E.[23]
Krueger A.
6-16-786-3
Bencic B.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-46-736-1
Kasatkina D.[12]
Kenin S.
3-67-56-4
Shnaider D.[13]
Parks A.
6-16-1
Navarro E.[10]
Cirstea S.
3-66-17-63
Keys M.[5]
Potapova A.
6-36-0
Boulter K.[25]
Begu I.
6-726-36-0
Andreeva M.[9]
Gracheva V.
7-56-4
Tauson C.[22]
Osorio C.
7-637-5
Pegula J.[4]
Linette M.
6-46-2
Sun L.
Noskova L.[31]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-26-0
Kudermetova P.
Alexandrova E.[20]
7-56-2
Mertens E.[28]
Birrell K.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[3]
Uchijima M.
6-43-67-64
Cristian J.
Fernandez L.[27]
5-77-656-3
Kartal S.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kessler M.
7-646-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Muchova K.[15]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Frech M.[30]
6-37-5
Samsonova L.[24]
Mcnally C.
7-686-4
Dolehide C.
Lys E.
7-636-4
Yastremska D.
Jabeur O.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Azarenka V.
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Kostyuk M.[18]
Montgomery R.
6-16-3
Wang X.
Ostapenko J.[26]
6-46-4
Collins D.[14]
Baptiste H.
5-76-26-4
Paolini J.[6]
Jovic I.
7-631-66-3
R128
Cocciaretto E.
Zarazua R.
6-41-0
Mcnally C.
Tomljanovic A.
6-40-0
Dolehide C.
Rakhimova K.
6-27-63
Wang X.
Sherif M.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Potapova A.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-756-47-5
Osorio C.
Osaka N.
6-46-4
Linette M.
Stearns P.
6-44-66-3
Montgomery R.
Niemeier J.
3-67-56-2
Yastremska D.
Yuan Y.
6-26-4
Siniakova K.
Carle M.
6-26-1
Garcia C.
Pera B.
6-36-4
Azarenka V.
Ngounoue C.
6-47-67
Baptiste H.
Osuigwe W.
6-16-2
Lamens S.
Bouzkova M.
3-66-36-3
Kudermetova P.
Liu C.
6-46-2
Begu I.
Li A.
7-53-66-1
Bronzetti L.
Kalinina A.
6-47-5
Cirstea S.
Joint M.
6-27-5
Jovic I.
Grabher J.
2-67-56-0
Uchijima M.
Raducanu E.
6-36-2
Gracheva V.
Kvitova P.
4-66-36-4
Cristian J.
Kudermetova V.
6-26-3
Kessler M.
Blinkova A.
6-16-2
Kenin S.
Inglis M.
6-26-1
Bencic B.
Maria T.
6-16-1
Parks A.
Kalinskaya A.
6-46-3
Avanesyan E.
Davis L.
6-46-2
Krueger A.
Volynets K.
0-66-26-2
Birrell K.
Golubic V.
6-46-4
Kartal S.
Lepchenko V.
7-666-2
Sun L.
Sramkova R.
6-31-67-62