Katie Boulter vs Linda NoskovaOsaka Round of 32

Osaka · WTA · Round of 32
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#12WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$5.9MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Boulter K.
7-6 6-3
Noskova L.
Boulter K.
7762
Noskova L.
6330

Katie Boulter defeated Linda Noskova 7-6 6-3 in the Osaka round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Linda Noskova came in ranked #12.

Key context

  • Match story: Katie Boulter closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Boulter K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Noskova L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Serve advantage — Noskova L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Boulter K.Noskova L.
21
Serve
66
67
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.5
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
97
Break points won·Even
93
92
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1795
Surface ELO
6.4+118 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1976
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
52

Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Noskova L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast