Jasmine Paolini vs Viktorija GolubicWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#15WTA
1905ELO
1748Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 17 · 4th on
#52WTA
1775ELO
1671Grass ELO
$652kYTD
$5.5MCAREER
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Paolini J.
7-6 6-4
Golubic V.
Paolini J.
762
Golubic V.
640

Jasmine Paolini defeated Viktorija Golubic in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 7-6, 6-4 on the grass courts. Paolini and Golubic were even in aces with zero each, while Paolini had one more double fault. Paolini converted 56% of her break points and secured five service breaks to Golubic's four.

Around the match

  • Paolini mounted a remarkable comeback from 0-6 down against Montgomery, overcoming a foot injury that had plagued her recent form.

    Paolini J.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-25WarsawQFclayJasmine Paolini1-6 6-2 6-2
2022-03-07Indian WellsR32hardViktorija Golubic7-5 1-6 7-6
2014-09-01Barnstaple 25KR16hardViktorija Golubic6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
22
Break points saved·Dominant
46
8
Break points won·Slight edge
96
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
32
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Paolini J.78%
Golubic V.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paolini J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1671
6.8Overall Elo 1922
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1775
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.4Won 57% in United Kingdom (42)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Golubic V.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw