Jasmine Paolini vs Viktorija Golubic — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Jasmine Paolini
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1922ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWLWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Viktorija Golubic
SUI
Viktorija Golubic
#62WTA
1775ELO
1671Grass ELO
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLWL
Paolini J.
vs
Golubic V.

Jasmine Paolini faces Viktorija Golubic in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Jasmine Paolini holds the paper edge — ranked #17, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Around the match

  • Paolini mounted a remarkable comeback from 0-6 down against Montgomery, overcoming a foot injury that had plagued her recent form.

    Paolini J.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Paolini J.78%
Golubic V.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Paolini J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Golubic V.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+99 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1671
6.4Overall Elo 1922
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1775
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.0Won 50% in GBR (26)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Paolini J.Stable
Golubic V.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

13 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Golubic V.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Golubic V.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Serve advantage — Golubic V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Golubic V.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
66
Break points saved·Dominant
87
59
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Golubic V.
Freshness·Even
75
74

Paolini J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Golubic V.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 34%

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-25WarsawQFclayJasmine Paolini1-6 6-2 6-2
2022-03-07Indian WellsR32hardViktorija Golubic7-5 1-6 7-6(4)
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-3
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.[9]
4-63-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.
Kessler M.
6-17-69
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
6-26-0
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
7-651-64-6
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.
3-62-6
Muchova K.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
5-70-6
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
2-64-6
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
4-6 7-5 5-3
Pegula J.
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-666-1
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-612-6
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
7-5 4-3
Maria T.
Jovic I.
1-62-6
Bencic B.
Wang X.
7-56-0
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
4-66-36-78
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
5-73-6
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
3-66-36-77
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
Navarro E.[23]
Selekhmeteva O.
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.
Paolini J.
Golubic V.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
Eala A.
Joint M.
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.
Anisimova A.
Kenin S.
Swan K.
Keys M.
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
Osorio C.
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.[15]
Samsonova L.
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.
Timofeeva M.
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.
Sabalenka A.
Ostapenko J.
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
Sawangkaew M.
Bartunkova N.
—
Pegula J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
—
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
Gauff C.
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