Jasmine Paolini vs Sofia KeninBeijing Round of 32

Beijing · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#105WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Paolini J.
6-3 6-0
Kenin S.
Paolini J.
662
Kenin S.
300

Jasmine Paolini defeated Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-0 in the Beijing round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 32. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Sofia Kenin in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR16hardSofia Kenin6-4 6-0
2019-09-16GuangzhouQFhardSofia Kenin7-5 6-1
2019-05-13RomeR64claySofia Kenin6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Kenin S.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Kenin S.
31
Serve
13
55
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
92
Break points won·Clear edge
99
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
54
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+214 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1659
7.4Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.4
Surface form
3.9
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
91

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw