Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin

Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Final

SUI

Viktorija Golubic

#70WTA

1736ELO

1619Grass ELO

33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Sunday, 14 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

USA

Sofia Kenin

#103WTA

1723ELO

1606Grass ELO

27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Viktorija Golubic faces Sofia Kenin in the Nottingham qualifying final on grass. Viktorija Golubic is the paper favourite — ranked #70 — but Sofia Kenin has won both their previous meetings, though none on grass.

Key context

Last match: Viktorija Golubic dropped the opening set before beating Veronika Erjavec 5–7 7–5 6–4.
Head-to-head: Sofia Kenin leads the head-to-head 2–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at BJK Cup Finals 2023.
Fatigue load: Viktorija Golubic carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC

Golubic V.51%

Kenin S.49%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Golubic V.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Kenin S.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.2+13 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.8Grass Elo 1606

5.6Overall Elo 1736

ELO gap

4.4Overall Elo 1723

7.0Leads 1–0 on grass

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on grass

5.76 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.25 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.