Viktorija Golubic vs Marie BouzkovaOsaka Round of 16

Osaka · WTA · Round of 16
#62WTA
1775ELO
1720Hard ELO
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Golubic V.
1-6 6-2 7-6
Bouzkova M.
Golubic V.
16772
Bouzkova M.
62631

Viktorija Golubic defeated Marie Bouzkova 1-6 6-2 7-6 in the Osaka round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marie Bouzkova came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16, but Viktorija Golubic had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Viktorija Golubic narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-10BJK Cup QualifiersRRMarie Bouzkova7-6(4) 6-3
2024-10-28JiujiangSFhardViktorija Golubic6-1 6-2
2024-01-08HobartR32hardMarie Bouzkova6-2 6-4
2023-11-07BJK Cup FinalsRRhardMarie Bouzkova6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Golubic V.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Bouzkova M.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Golubic V.Bouzkova M.
23
Serve
10
49
Return
81

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
79
Break points saved·Dominant
59
90
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
57
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1720
Surface ELO
6.1+78 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1871
3.9
H2H
6.1
8.3
Surface form
7.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
78

Golubic V.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bouzkova M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast