Viktorija Golubic vs Jasmine PaoliniIndian Wells Round of 32

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 32
#62WTA
1775ELO
1720Hard ELO
33 yrs · 169 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Golubic V.
7-5 1-6 7-6
Paolini J.
Golubic V.
71772
Paolini J.
56641

Viktorija Golubic defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 1-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Viktorija Golubic claimed a first win over Jasmine Paolini in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-02WimbledonR64grassJasmine Paolini7.7-6.0 6-4
2022-07-25WarsawQFclayJasmine Paolini1-6 6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Golubic V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Golubic V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Golubic V.Paolini J.
23
Serve
31
49
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
64
89
Break points saved·Dominant
59
87
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1720
Surface ELO
7.4+153 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1775
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1905
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
4.9
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
5.7
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
76

Golubic V.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw