Katerina Siniakova vs Nikola BartunkovaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#44WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 3rd on
#39WTA
1788ELO
1679Grass ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Siniakova K.
2-6 4-6
Bartunkova N.
Siniakova K.
240
Bartunkova N.
662

Nikola Bartunkova defeated Katerina Siniakova in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 6-2, 6-4 on the grass courts. Bartunkova converted 67% of her break points and secured four service breaks to Siniakova's one. Siniakova hit six double faults in the match.

Around the match

  • Barbora, she's a Grand Slam champion. I will try my best and you will see.

    Bartunkova N.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
35
72
Break points saved·Dominant
21
76
Break points won·Even
92
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
75
Tiebreaks·
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Siniakova K.62%
Bartunkova N.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Siniakova K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+72 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Grass Elo 1679
5.9Overall Elo 1859
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.9Won 48% in United Kingdom (23)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
81

Siniakova K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw