Katerina Siniakova vs Alina CharaevaWarsaw 125 Round of 16

Warsaw 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#34WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 July 2025
hard
#118WTA
1694ELO
1605Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWWLW
Siniakova K.
6-3 6-3
Charaeva A.
Siniakova K.
662
Charaeva A.
33

Katerina Siniakova defeated Alina Charaeva 6-3 6-3 in the Warsaw 125 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #34.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Charaeva A.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Charaeva A.
21
Serve
64
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
56
Break points saved·Even
75
75
Break points won·Slight edge
94
85
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+202 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1605
7.3Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
2.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Siniakova K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Charaeva A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast