Katerina Siniakova vs Daria KasatkinaSeoul Round of 16

Seoul · WTA · Round of 16
#34WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 September 2025
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Siniakova K.
7-6 6-2
Kasatkina D.
Siniakova K.
7762
Kasatkina D.
6220

Katerina Siniakova defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-6 6-2 in the Seoul round of 16 on hard. Katerina Siniakova narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 3-6 6-2
2024-10-14NingboR16hardDaria Kasatkina1-6 6-3 6-2
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayKaterina Siniakova6-2 2-6 6-4
2020-09-14RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3
2019-05-13RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-1
2018-03-05Indian WellsR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 5-2 RET
2017-10-16MoscowR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Kasatkina D.
21
Serve
0
64
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
75
80
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 39 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.6+50 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1757
5.5Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1795
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Siniakova K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kasatkina D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast