Daria Kasatkina vs Katerina Siniakova — Roland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
Daria Kasatkina
AUS17
Daria Kasatkina
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Katerina Siniakova
CZE
Katerina Siniakova
#36WTA
1846ELO
1722Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Kasatkina D.
6-1 3-6 6-2
Siniakova K.
Kasatkina D.
6362
Siniakova K.
1621

Daria Kasatkina defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-1 3-6 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 64. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–2.

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-15SeoulR16hardKaterina Siniakova7-6(2) 6-2
2024-10-14NingboR16hardDaria Kasatkina1-6 6-3 6-2
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayKaterina Siniakova6-2 2-6 6-4
2020-09-14RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3
2019-05-13RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-1
2018-03-05Indian WellsR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 5-2 RET
2017-10-16MoscowR16hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Kasatkina D.Siniakova K.
—
Serve
29
—
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kasatkina D.Siniakova K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kasatkina D.Siniakova K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
75
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kasatkina D.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Siniakova K.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1722
4.5Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1846
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.4
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.2
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kasatkina D.Siniakova K.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
95

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-26-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-614-66-0
Gauff C.[4]
Boisson L.
6-16-2
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Keys M.[19]
6-766-46-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-636-3
Boisson L.
Andreeva M.[8]
7-666-3
R16
Andreeva M.[8]
Kasatkina D.[17]
6-37-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Samsonova L.[20]
7-651-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[2]
1-66-37-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Anisimova A.[6]
7-56-3
Boisson L.
Pegula J.[5]
3-66-46-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Paolini J.[13]
4-67-666-1
Gauff C.[4]
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-07-5
Keys M.[19]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-37-5
R32
Keys M.[19]
Kenin S.[31]
4-66-37-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Pera B.
7-647-65
Gauff C.[4]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-17-63
Anisimova A.[6]
Tauson C.[21]
7-646-4
Alexandrova E.[14]
Kudermetova V.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.[26]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-646-1
Samsonova L.[20]
Yastremska D.
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Danilovic O.
6-26-3
Kasatkina D.[17]
Badosa P.[10]
6-17-5
Boisson L.
Jacquemot E.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.[13]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Ostapenko J.[29]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[5]
Vondrousova M.
3-66-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Putintseva Y.[32]
6-36-1
Zheng Q.[8]
Mboko V.[9]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Cristian J.
6-27-5
R64
Tauson C.[21]
Rus A.
7-627-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kartal S.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Krueger A.
6-36-4
Badosa P.[10]
Ruse E.
3-66-46-4
Boisson L.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Arango E.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[29]
Dolehide C.
5-76-36-3
Cristian J.
Bejlek S.
1-66-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Krejcikova B.[15]
6-06-3
Paolini J.[13]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-3
Jacquemot E.
Parks A.
6-26-746-1
Pera B.
Vekic D.[18]
6-24-67-63
Kasatkina D.[17]
Jeanjean L.
6-46-2
Rybakina E.[2]
Jovic I.[17]
6-36-3
Putintseva Y.[32]
Garland J.
7-656-3
Kenin S.[31]
Azarenka V.
7-656-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Montgomery R.
6-44-67-5
Vondrousova M.
Frech M.[25]
6-04-66-3
Danilovic O.
Collins D.
6-43-66-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Potapova A.[28]
7-646-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Romero Gormaz L.
6-36-3
Pegula J.[5]
Li A.[30]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Teichmann J.
6-36-1
Mboko V.[9]
Lys E.
6-46-4
Baptiste H.[26]
Hibino N.
6-36-2
Alexandrova E.[14]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-3
Yastremska D.
Shnaider D.[25]
7-57-5
Svitolina E.[7]
Bondar A.
7-647-5
Gauff C.[4]
Valentova T.
6-26-4
Keys M.[19]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Golubic V.
6-06-2
R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1