Daria Kasatkina vs Katerina SiniakovaMoscow Round of 16

Moscow · WTA · Round of 16
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2017
hard
#34WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Kasatkina D.
6-2 6-3
Siniakova K.
Kasatkina D.
662
Siniakova K.
230

Daria Kasatkina defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-2 6-3 in the Moscow round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #34, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-15SeoulR16hardKaterina Siniakova7-6(2) 6-2
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayDaria Kasatkina6-1 3-6 6-2
2024-10-14NingboR16hardDaria Kasatkina1-6 6-3 6-2
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayKaterina Siniakova6-2 2-6 6-4
2020-09-14RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-3
2019-05-13RomeR32clayDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-4 6-1
2018-03-05Indian WellsR64hardDaria Kasatkina6-2 5-2 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Siniakova K.
0
Serve
21
95
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
75
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
97

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Siniakova K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast