Katie Boulter vs Tyra Caterina GrantWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#71WTA
1831ELO
1734Grass ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
#153WTA
1672ELO
1511Grass ELO
18 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Boulter K.
4-6 2-6
Caterina Grant T.
Boulter K.
420
Caterina Grant T.
662

Tyra Caterina Grant defeated Katie Boulter in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-4, 6-2 on the grass courts. Grant served 6 aces to Boulter's 4 and converted 60% of her break points, compared to Boulter's 0%. Grant won 82% of her first-serve points and broke Boulter's serve 3 times, while committing 5 double faults to Boulter's 8.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Boulter K.84%
Caterina Grant T.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Boulter K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
8.1+244 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Grass Elo 1511
7.2Overall Elo 1843
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1671
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.1Won 68% in United Kingdom (44)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Boulter K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw