Alexandra Eala vs Maya Joint — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Alexandra Eala
PHI
Alexandra Eala
#32WTA
1911ELO
1822Grass ELO
$871kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Maya Joint
AUS
Maya Joint
#87WTA
1678ELO
1604Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWLLL
Eala A.
vs
Joint M.

Alexandra Eala faces Maya Joint in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #32, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 220-point grass Elo advantage — but Maya Joint has won their only previous meeting.

Around the match

  • “I'm very happy with my first round. I think that I played really well and kept the intensity throughout the whole match so I'm hoping to keep this momentum going throughout the week.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I was really surprised. The Filipinos keep surprising me in good ways. I know how notoriously difficult it is to get tickets to this event so to have what I would call a full house of almost Filipinos is amazing. I never would have thought that at Wimbledon I would have like a home crowd so super thankful and I really enjoyed that.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Eala A.87%
Joint M.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Eala A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Eala A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Joint M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+218 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Grass Elo 1604
7.0Overall Elo 1911
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1678
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Eala A.Rising
Joint M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

31 vs 10 matches

Statistics

This season
Eala A.Joint M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Eala A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Joint M.

Joint M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Serve advantage — Eala A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Eala A.Joint M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
79
Break points saved·Even
75
76
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
82
81
Tiebreaks·
68
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Eala A.Joint M.
Freshness·Slight edge
81
73

Eala A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Joint M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-23EastbourneFgrassMaya Joint6-4 1-6 7-6(10)
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostovic T.
6-26-3
Oliynykova O.
Kessler M.
0-60-6
Ostapenko J.
Dart H.
6-33-66-4
Ruzic A.
Semenistaja D.
6-33-66-3
Fernandez L.[22]
Tjen J.
1-66-73
Xu M.
Kasatkina D.
2-66-32-6
Gasanova A.
Arango E.
6-36-1
Jacquemot E.
Osaka N.[14]
1-65-7
Muchova K.[10]
Zakharova A.
6-36-2
Andreescu B.
Zhang S.
6-736-76
Parks A.
Dudeney A.
6-36-3
Sawangkaew M.
Chwalinska M.[20]
2-67-56-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.
6-46-4
Stearns P.
Bartunkova N.
4-66-35-7
Krejcikova B.
Klugman H.
6-16-4
Linette M.
Andreeva M.[5]
5-74-6
Pegula J.[4]
Vidmanova D.
7-56-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-26-3
Yastremska D.
Ito A.
7-614-67-5
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Potapova A.[27]
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Tararudee L.
Tagger L.
7-635-76-4
Putintseva Y.
Maria T.
4-64-6
J. Cristian
Jovic I.[16]
6-710-6
Bencic B.[11]
Stojsavljevic M.
6-26-1
Wang X.
Cocciaretto E.
6-32-66-2
Jones F.
Parry D.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-754-6
Li A.[28]
Sonmez Z.
5-76-14-6
Liu C.
Vandewinkel H.
4-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bondar A.
6-35-77-5
Korpatsch T.
Gauff C.[7]
2-61-6
Svitolina E.[8]
Snigur D.
5-72-6
Erjavec V.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-46-76
Tomljanovic A.
Bolkvadze M.
2-66-24-6
Krueger A.
Vekic D.[31]
3-67-636-4
Navarro E.[23]
Badosa P.
4-66-37-5
Selekhmeteva O.
Kraus S.
6-17-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Blinkova A.
7-634-61-6
N. Podoroska
Kostyuk M.[12]
1-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Montgomery R.
0-66-47-5
Shymanovich I.
Golubic V.
2-66-21-6
Kalinina A.
Rakhimova K.
6-44-65-7
Sakkari M.
Tauson C.[24]
6-36-3
Eala A.[29]
Zarazua R.
6-16-2
S. Williams
Joint M.
3-67-663-6
Valentova T.
Pliskova K.
3-64-6
Townsend T.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-66-23-6
Anisimova A.[6]
Gjorcheska L.
6-36-2
Marcinko P.
Kenin S.
6-744-6
Begu I.
Swan K.
4-64-6
Day K.
Keys M.[26]
7-654-63-6
Cirstea S.[17]
Bejlek S.
6-17-66
Birrell K.
Korneeva A.
6-30-66-2
Osorio C.
Waltert S.
6-26-1
Seidel E.
Noskova L.[9]
4-63-6
Shnaider D.[15]
Lys E.
7-56-1
Kudermetova P.
Samsonova L.
3-63-6
Boulter K.
Grant T.
4-62-6
Gibson T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
1-66-32-6
Mertens E.[25]
Siegemund L.
6-26-4
Haddad Maia B.
Timofeeva M.
3-62-6
Ruse E.
Mcnally C.
5-73-6
Boisson L.
Rybakina E.[2]
4-66-13-6
Sabalenka A.
Kessler M.
6-17-69
Ostapenko J.
Ruzic A.
6-26-0
Tjen J.
Kasatkina D.
7-651-64-6
Gasanova A.
Osaka N.
3-62-6
Muchova K.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Parks A.
Sawangkaew M.
5-70-6
Siniakova K.
Bartunkova N.
2-64-6
Krejcikova B.
Andreeva M.
4-67-56-4
Pegula J.
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-666-1
Yastremska D.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-612-6
Alexandrova E.
Tararudee L.
7-57-5
Maria T.
Jovic I.
1-62-6
Bencic B.
Wang X.
7-56-0
Parry D.
Kalinskaya A.
4-66-36-78
Sonmez Z.
Liu C.
5-73-6
Sierra S.
Gauff C.
3-66-36-77
Snigur D.
Jeanjean L.
Bolkvadze M.
Krueger A.
Navarro E.[23]
Selekhmeteva O.
Blinkova A.
Kostyuk M.
Paolini J.
Golubic V.
Rakhimova K.
Sakkari M.
Eala A.
Joint M.
Pliskova K.
Swiatek I.
Anisimova A.
Kenin S.
Swan K.
Keys M.
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
Osorio C.
Noskova L.
Shnaider D.[15]
Samsonova L.
Grant T.
Bouzkova M.[21]
Mertens E.
Timofeeva M.
Mcnally C.
Rybakina E.
Sabalenka A.
Ostapenko J.
Kasatkina D.
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
Sawangkaew M.
Bartunkova N.
Krejcikova B.
Pegula J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Alexandrova E.
Jovic I.
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.
Liu C.
Gauff C.
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