Lois Boisson vs Elena Rybakina — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
Lois Boisson
FRA
Lois Boisson
#281WTA
1728ELO
1499Grass ELO
$57kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 2nd on
Elena Rybakina
KAZ2
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
1884Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
Boisson L.
4-6 6-1 3-6
Rybakina E.
Boisson L.
4631
Rybakina E.
6162

Elena Rybakina defeated Lois Boisson in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 victory. Rybakina hit 6 aces and committed 3 double faults, while converting 20% of break points and winning 79% of first-serve points. The match saw both players achieve 2 service breaks, with Rybakina ultimately emerging victorious.

Around the match

  • “It was a really difficult match, and I'm not coming in off too many wins, so I had to really fight. I need to improve quite a lot, but I'm happy to get another opportunity.”

    Rybakina E.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “Inside there are a lot of emotions. People who know me well, like my team, see when I'm stressed and when things aren't working. I'm glad I managed to get through.”

    Rybakina E.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “I came in with no preparation, clearly – there's no other word for it. The calf held up, but I could feel I was at my limit.”

    Boisson L.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Boisson L.Rybakina E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
35%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Boisson L.3%
Rybakina E.97%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Rybakina E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Boisson L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Rybakina E.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.2Grass Elo 1499
Surface ELO
9.8+384 Grass Elo edge
0.1Overall Elo 1728
ELO gap
9.9Overall Elo 2122
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.8Won 80% in United Kingdom (30)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Boisson L.Rybakina E.
Freshness·Clear edge
73
56

Boisson L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw