Sorana Cirstea vs Kimberly BirrellWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#19WTA
1957ELO
1689Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 4th on
#69WTA
1754ELO
1602Grass ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLL
Cirstea S.
6-3 6-4
Birrell K.
Cirstea S.
662
Birrell K.
340

Sorana Cirstea defeated Kimberly Birrell in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-4 on the grass courts. Cirstea hit 6 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Birrell had 2 aces and 6 double faults. Cirstea converted 50% of her break points and won 3 service breaks, compared to Birrell's 1 service break and 100% conversion rate on break points.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR128hardSorana Cirstea6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
37
Break points saved·Clear edge
33
11
Break points won·Clear edge
93
77
Deciding sets·Even
82
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Cirstea S.87%
Birrell K.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cirstea S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+122 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Grass Elo 1566
7.8Overall Elo 1957
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1735
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.43 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
4.5Won 41% in United Kingdom (41)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
96

Cirstea S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Birrell K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw