Sorana Cirstea vs Kimberly Birrell — Wimbledon Round of 64
Cirstea S.
Sorana Cirstea faces Kimberly Birrell in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Sorana Cirstea holds the paper edge — ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 128.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Cirstea S. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Sorana Cirstea 20 games in 14 days, Kimberly Birrell 103.
- Under pressure: Sorana Cirstea has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 86 vs Kimberly Birrell's 65).
- Head-to-head: Sorana Cirstea leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Indian Wells 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCirstea S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Birrell K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells | R128 | hard | Sorana Cirstea | 6-3 6-2 |