Sorana Cirstea vs Tatjana MariaIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#18WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#96WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWW
Cirstea S.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Maria T.
Cirstea S.
6462
Maria T.
4631

Sorana Cirstea defeated Tatjana Maria 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 64. Sorana Cirstea extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sorana Cirstea closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR128grassSorana Cirstea6-1 2-6 6-3
2022-06-27WimbledonR64grassTatjana Maria6-3 1-6 7-5
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR128claySorana Cirstea6-3 6-3
2019-12-16LimogesR32hardSorana Cirstea5-7 7-6(3) 6-2
2013-04-01CharlestonR64claySorana Cirstea6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Cirstea S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Maria T.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Serve advantage — Cirstea S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cirstea S.Maria T.
67
Serve
9
70
Return
13

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
13
Break points saved·Dominant
86
31
Break points won·Clear edge
92
78
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+306 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1608
8.9Overall Elo 1957
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.1
Country comfort
4.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
69

Cirstea S.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Maria T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw