Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova — Wimbledon Round of 64
Shnaider D.Diana Shnaider faces Liudmila Samsonova in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Diana Shnaider holds the paper edge — ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shnaider D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Diana Shnaider 20 games in 14 days, Liudmila Samsonova 47.
- Serve & return: Liudmila Samsonova leads on Serve Rating (39), Diana Shnaider on Return Rating (39).
- Last match: Liudmila Samsonova dropped just 6 games past Polina Kudermetova.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShnaider D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Samsonova L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-05 | Toronto | QF | hard | Diana Shnaider | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome | R64 | clay | Diana Shnaider | 6-1 6-3 |