Diana Shnaider vs Anastasia PotapovaBrisbane Round of 32

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 32
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Shnaider D.
6-1 6-3
Potapova A.
Shnaider D.
662
Potapova A.
130

Diana Shnaider defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-1 6-3 in the Brisbane round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #15. Diana Shnaider claimed a first win over Anastasia Potapova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR128clayAnastasia Potapova7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shnaider D.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shnaider D.Potapova A.
41
Serve
11
37
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 76 days (−1.2)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 102 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+29 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1804
5.1Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
99

Shnaider D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw