Jessica Pegula vs Liudmila SamsonovaBrisbane Quarter-final

Brisbane · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#41WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Pegula J.
6-3 7-6
Samsonova L.
Pegula J.
6772
Samsonova L.
3630

Jessica Pegula defeated Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 7-6 in the Brisbane quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16BerlinR16grassLiudmila Samsonova6-7(8) 7-5 7-6(5)
2025-02-17DubaiR32hardJessica Pegula6-0 6-4
2023-08-07MontrealFhardJessica Pegula6-1 6-0
2022-05-09RomeR64clayJessica Pegula4-6 6-3 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassLiudmila Samsonova6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Samsonova L.
68
Serve
38
73
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
69
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 83 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
9.0+335 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1723
8.6Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1775
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Country comfort
4.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw