Yue Yuan vs Diana Shnaider — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
CHN
Yue Yuan
#121WTA
1629ELO
1610Hard ELO
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Diana Shnaider
RUS14
Diana Shnaider
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Yuan Y.
6-4 1-6 6-3
Shnaider D.
Yuan Y.
6162
Shnaider D.
4631

Yue Yuan defeated Diana Shnaider 6-4 1-6 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 16. Yue Yuan extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Yue Yuan closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassYue Yuan1-6 6-4 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Yuan Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Yuan Y.

Serve advantage — Shnaider D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yuan Y.Shnaider D.
30
Serve
41
35
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Yuan Y.Shnaider D.
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Yuan Y.Shnaider D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
64
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
81
94
Break points won·Clear edge
77
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yuan Y.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Shnaider D.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1610
Surface ELO
7.5+223 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1629
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1891
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.5
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Yuan Y.Shnaider D.
Freshness·
—
93

Shnaider D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[7]
7-56-4
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Rybakina E.[9]
7-56-3
Paolini J.[7]
Kudermetova V.
6-36-726-3
Quarter-finals
Paolini J.[7]
Gauff C.[2]
2-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.
Gracheva V.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-36-4
R16
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Alexandrova E.[12]
3-67-656-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Cirstea S.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-17-5
Paolini J.[7]
Krejcikova B.
6-16-2
Rybakina E.[9]
Keys M.[6]
6-736-46-2
Gracheva V.
Seidel E.
2-66-16-1
Kudermetova V.
Linette M.[31]
6-46-3
Gauff C.[2]
Bronzetti L.
6-26-4
R32
Gauff C.[2]
Yastremska D.[32]
W/O
Swiatek I.[3]
Kostyuk M.[25]
W/O
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Townsend T.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-634-67-65
Keys M.[6]
Ito A.
6-46-0
Cirstea S.
Yuan Y.
6-726-46-4
Alexandrova E.[12]
Joint M.
6-46-3
Seidel E.
Kessler M.[29]
6-42-67-66
Kudermetova V.
Tauson C.[16]
3-67-646-4
Linette M.[31]
Pegula J.[4]
7-653-66-3
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Anisimova A.[5]
7-56-4
Gracheva V.
Muchova K.[11]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[9]
Mertens E.[19]
4-66-37-5
Paolini J.[7]
Krueger A.[26]
7-626-1
Krejcikova B.
Jovic I.
6-43-66-2
Bronzetti L.
Ostapenko J.[23]
1-66-36-4
R64
Alexandrova E.[12]
Sun L.
6-46-2
Joint M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-44-66-4
Mertens E.[19]
Ngounoue C.
3-67-637-5
Paolini J.[7]
Sakkari M.
7-627-65
Ostapenko J.[23]
Osorio C.
W/O
Muchova K.[11]
Garcia C.
7-637-60
Anisimova A.[5]
Jeanjean L.
W/O
Gracheva V.
Kenin S.[24]
6-776-36-3
Kessler M.[29]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
Seidel E.
Navarro E.[8]
6-41-66-4
Kalinskaya A.[28]
Stearns P.
7-644-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Vondrousova M.
7-56-1
Yastremska D.[32]
Tomova V.
6-42-66-2
Tauson C.[16]
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-756-4
Linette M.[31]
Sramkova R.
7-646-0
Kostyuk M.[25]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Gauff C.[2]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Kudermetova V.
Bencic B.[17]
6-47-60
Pegula J.[4]
Birrell K.
6-46-3
Townsend T.
Samsonova L.[13]
6-26-4
Jovic I.
Noskova L.[20]
6-36-0
Krueger A.[26]
Sevastova A.
6-40-66-3
Bronzetti L.
Kasatkina D.[15]
6-31-66-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Danilovic O.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Fernandez L.[21]
6-36-3
Rybakina E.[9]
Zarazua R.
4-66-07-5
Ito A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[27]
6-14-66-4
Keys M.[6]
Lys E.
1-66-37-61
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.
6-16-4
Cirstea S.
Frech M.[22]
7-642-66-4
Yuan Y.
Shnaider D.[14]
6-41-66-3
Krejcikova B.
Svitolina E.[10]
2-66-46-3
R128
Sramkova R.
Dolehide C.
1-66-47-61
Stearns P.
Wang Y.
6-46-3
Garcia C.
Kartal S.
5-76-46-3
Zarazua R.
Putintseva Y.
3-66-46-2
Maria T.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-3
Ngounoue C.
Baptiste H.
6-14-66-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Williams V.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Zhu L.
6-766-27-66
Townsend T.
Collins D.
6-47-62
Lys E.
Pera B.
6-24-67-5
Gracheva V.
Volynets K.
6-43-66-3
Wang X.
Arango E.
7-616-3
Tomova V.
Li A.
6-47-5
Osorio C.
Uchijima M.
7-51-66-4
Krejcikova B.
Parks A.
6-44-66-0
Jovic I.
Sierra S.
6-37-64
Sevastova A.
Bektas E.
6-46-766-1
Sakkari M.
Rakhimova K.
6-33-66-2
Birrell K.
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
Kudermetova V.
Lamens S.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Bondar A.
7-606-4
Mcnally C.
Inglis M.
6-26-3
Seidel E.
Kudermetova P.
1-66-36-2
Jeanjean L.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-51-66-4
Joint M.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Sun L.
Ruzic A.
6-46-4
Yuan Y.
Bucsa C.
6-26-2
Cirstea S.
Vekic D.
6-14-66-3
Potapova A.
Siegemund L.
6-46-4
Ito A.
Ruse E.
6-27-66
Danilovic O.
Boulter K.
6-07-5
Vondrousova M.
Cristian J.
6-36-1