Jessica Pegula vs Diana ShnaiderCharleston Quarter-final

Charleston · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
1941Clay ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#15WTA
1891ELO
1841Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Pegula J.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Shnaider D.
Pegula J.
3662
Shnaider D.
6321

Jessica Pegula defeated Diana Shnaider 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Charleston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending the title. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-2
2024-08-05TorontoSFhardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pegula J.Shnaider D.
67
Serve
4
22
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
93
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+100 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1841
7.8Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1891
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
8.1
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
93

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%