Jessica Pegula vs Diana ShnaiderToronto Semi-final

Toronto · WTA · Semi-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024
hard
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Pegula J.
6-4 6-3
Shnaider D.
Pegula J.
662
Shnaider D.
430

Jessica Pegula defeated Diana Shnaider 6-4 6-3 in the Toronto semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonQFclayJessica Pegula3-6 6-3 6-2
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Shnaider D.
68
Serve
41
73
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 149). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
96
93
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+225 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1833
7.8Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1891
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
90

Pegula J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw

Semi-finals
Pegula J.[3]
Shnaider D.[14]
6-46-3
Anisimova A.
Navarro E.[8]
6-32-66-2